Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Status
Bitcoin follows a predictable ~4-year cycle tied to halving events. Track where we are now.
Cycle 4
BEAR MarketProgress45.5%
Days in Phase
173
Next Milestone
Cycle Bottom ~Oct 2026
Cycle History
| Cycle | Bottom | Top | Duration |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cycle 1 | 2011-11-18 | 2013-11-30 | ~4 years |
| Cycle 2 | 2015-01-14 | 2017-12-17 | ~4 years |
| Cycle 3 | 2018-12-15 | 2021-11-10 | ~4 years |
| Cycle 4 | 2022-11-30 | 2025-10-06 (projected) | ~4 years |
Understanding the Bitcoin Cycle
Every ~4 years, Bitcoin undergoes a halving event where mining rewards are cut in half. This creates a predictable supply shock that historically leads to a bull market.
The Pattern
- Halving — Mining rewards cut in half
- Bull Market — ~545 days to cycle top
- Bear Market — ~375 days to cycle bottom
- Repeat — Next halving ~4 years later
Formula
Based on historical data, we calculate:TOP = HALVING + 545 days (±30 days)BOTTOM = TOP + 375 days (±30 days)
Time Your Trades with Cycle Signals
Get accumulation and distribution signals based on cycle progress.
View Plans →